North Carolina

Legislatively, Democrats failed to flip HD 119, which consists of Jackson, Swain, and Transylvania counties. Gubernatorially, however, AG Josh Stein won the seat against controversial LG Mark Robinson by about 7 points. Stein flipped Jackson and Transylvania counties by around 10 points each, and held Swain to under a 10 point margin. This is the best Democratic performance in the west in over a decade. Stein notably also flipped two heavily Trump-favoring precincts in Jackson County, including Cashiers

Craven County, home to New Bern and a sizable number of the state's old statewide Democrats, almost went blue gubernatorially in 2024. Mark Robinson only won the county by just over a point, seeing his margins drop uniformly from his 2020 LG bid. Stein managed to turn New Bern and its surrounding communities much more Democratic than previous years haven seen any time recently

The county in North Carolina with the farthest left gubernatorial shift was Henderson, to the south of Asheville. The county has trended left in recent years, but still goes for Republicans under normal conditions. Stein managed to win it by about 4.5 points, turning the Hendersonville area deep blue, and flipping precincts along the Buncombe border